Monday, September 12, 2016

Review: A Journal of the Plague Year

A Journal of the Plague Year A Journal of the Plague Year by Daniel Defoe
My rating: 4 of 5 stars

I don't care that this is "documentary novel", although I nearly only read nonfiction. Defoe seems so successful at putting me in London in 1665 that this was worth a second read. Reading of the "bring out your dead" cart-borne travails of Londoners of this time, I wonder how well a modern city would fair under the same circumstances. Considering Katrina, for instance, I doubt we would bear up as well as the Londoners and how they did bear up (in-home confinement, watchmen, open pit graves) is all laid out here with the quack nostrums of the time.

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Saturday, September 10, 2016

Review: The Subjectivity of Scientists and the Bayesian Approach

The Subjectivity of Scientists and the Bayesian Approach The Subjectivity of Scientists and the Bayesian Approach by S. James Press
My rating: 3 of 5 stars

In his book Clinical vs. Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence (University of Minnesota, 1954), psychoanalyst Paul Meehl gave evidence that statistical models almost always yield better predictions and diagnoses than trained professionals. The authors here examine the cases of selected pioneers in science and how bias-driven subjectivity played a significant role in directing their advancements. That role of subjectivity is the main thrust of this book. The formal application of Bayesian inference in deriving the posterior probability based on prior probability and a likelihood function derived from a statistical model for the observed data is not examined as deeply as the title may suggest. This is really a history of science via chapter-length biographies for the layman with a Bayesian introduction for the nonmathematician as almost an appendix.

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[Look for my entire review at MAA Reviews]

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Friday, September 9, 2016

Review: Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions - Volume 3

Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions - Volume 3 Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions - Volume 3 by Charles Mackay
My rating: 3 of 5 stars

Overall, this is my least favorite of the three volumes of Mackay's epic investigation, although it is worth reading with an end that balances the beginning. This volume covers alchemists, fortune-tellers, and animal magnetism. The alchemists are treated with a series of quick, paragraph biographies like reading something from Tebbo (publisher of a number of "What You Need to Know..." books repackaging Wikipedia content). Fortune-tellers is a bit better, but Mackay does not get into his usual stride until he deals with the "mummery" of the quack science of animal magnetism. The dissection of this combination of (self-?)hypnosis, feigning, and hysteria is fascinating with the introduction of blind and even double-blind tests to show the pseudoscience for what it is. Overall, this book made me again see the 19th Century as a fascinating time of science pushing light into the dark corners and how long the history is of baseless beliefs that lead people to even now read horoscopes and pay good money to converse with a "psychic".

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Wednesday, September 7, 2016

Review: The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy

The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy by Douglas Adams
My rating: 3 of 5 stars

The brilliant and funny Adams could do no wrong! It is a real delight to hear his voice on this audiobook edition. Apparently, this is an abridgement of the first unabridged audiobook version he did. Also, I decided I actually like the conclusion, even final act to The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy (2005) better than the book! Gasp!

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Monday, September 5, 2016

Review: An American Melodrama: The Presidential Campaign of 1968

An American Melodrama: The Presidential Campaign of 1968 An American Melodrama: The Presidential Campaign of 1968 by Lewis Chester
My rating: 3 of 5 stars

While this book has one author, it is actually the work of three English journalists covering the election. The "Melodrama" in the title plays on their structure of "XII" "acts" and a coda. I think they would have been better dropping that idea, but the depth of coverage makes this a revealing look at presidential politics from primaries to election. It is also interesting how much has changed. Primaries were not universal, yet, and two-party politics more so with George Wallace & Curtis LeMay
nabbing an electoral vote of 46 for the American Independent party and a vocal advocacy for racial segregation in public schools and a viable option for the hawks.

The Republican nominee, former Vice President Richard Nixon, won the election over the Democratic nominee, incumbent Vice President Hubert Humphrey. This made a winner out of Nixon the loser and showed Humphrey could not get out of Johnson's shadow.

The bulk of this book is on the primaries which is where the drama was, despite the October surprise of Paris peace talks shenanigans around Johnson and Nixon.

On the Democratic side, those primaries had the late entry of Senator Robert F. Kennedy, assassinated June 6, 1968 on the night of a California victory. Many of his follower threw in with Eugene McCarthy
as an anti-war candidate with others flocking to Senator George McGovern for his outspoken opposition to the growing U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War. These two became much more viable without RFK and with President Lyndon B. Johnson withdrawing Mar 31, 1968. This all came to a head at the 1968 Chicago convention and its hippy-bashing police riot.

On the Republican side we had primary contestants Governor Ronald Reagan of California, when that state was basically Republican and Governor Nelson Rockefeller of New York trying to defeat his own image as plutocrat and Governor George Romney of Michigan on the scene until he withdrew Feb 28, 1968.

It makes me think our election year is even less about hawks and doves and spawning less violence and protests and, in a sense, less present and fierce.

Like Alexis de Tocqueville, these European correspondents over in their reportage much that was true then and rings true now, like

"...personal influence is probable the most effective means of persuading people who are uncertain about voting at all that they should vote. And voters of low motivation, once brought to the polls, are more likely than not to be Democrats. Similarly, the more people vote, the better for the Democrats, since there are more of them."

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Review: From Dawn to Decadence: Part 2

From Dawn to Decadence: Part 2 From Dawn to Decadence: Part 2 by Jacques Baryun
My rating: 3 of 5 stars

This is my second time reading this and I can read it at least two more times and still only scratch the surface of the learning obtainable here. This second of 2 parts goes from the 1600s to the dawn of the Internet Age and I like how the author reels off books embedded in the text to follow-up with and which are to read or just leaf through, specifically to translations. Translations are important as key novels are big feature here. The book covers two broad paths of the modern era: art largely through literature and technology largely through the stunning advancements of the two-decade stretch 1885 - 1905.

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Saturday, September 3, 2016

Review: Ashanti to Zulu: African Traditions

Ashanti to Zulu: African Traditions Ashanti to Zulu: African Traditions by Margaret Musgrove
My rating: 3 of 5 stars

A beautiful, little thirty-odd page magazine-sized book giving one African (basically, Sub-Saharan) tribe for each letter of the alphabet. Aimed at children and beautifully illustrated, this is a warmly loving sub-anthropological depiction featuring stylized art worth framing.

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Review: Out of the Corner

Out of the Corner by Jennifer Grey My rating: 4 of 5 stars View all my reviews